Fundamental change may be coming to US equity markets, and it’s not just because of the new Trump administration. In September, the SEC included Reg NMS in a list of regulations to be examined pursuant to the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA). Passed in 1980, the RFA requires government agencies to periodically review and assess the impact of regulation on US businesses.
Regulation NMS is one of the most significant and controversial pieces of equity market regulation, and the aftershocks still reverberate today, over 10 years after it was passed. There were four main components of the regulations:
While I am in favor of a holistic review of market structure that encompasses all aspects of U.S. equity market structure, the Order Protection Rule deserves particular attention. This particular rule within Reg NMS was controversial from the beginning and two SEC commissioners voted against Reg NMS at the time focusing on the Trade Through Rule in their dissent. One of the dissenting SEC Commissioners was Paul Atkins who is now a leading figure in President-Elect Trump’s transition team; so it is instructive to look back on his original objections.
While there is clearly correlation between the dissenters’ warnings about Reg NMS and what has transpired, there are many other factors that may have contributed to causation. Nevertheless, the combination of ongoing dissatisfaction with equity market structure, Mr. Atkins’ influence within a new administration looking to scale back financial regulations, and the review initiated via the Regulatory Flexibility Act mean that a fundamental review of equity market structure, including the trade through rule, is increasingly likely.
Reforming The Trade Through Rule
Reform of the trade through could come about by outright abolishing it or implementing an opt out. (At the time reg NMS was being developed some commentators suggested an opt out to the rule for sophisticated investors, however this did not come to pass). In either case it would likely have significant impact on markets. The potential impact could be:
It may seem that there are many advantages to reforming or abolishing the trade through rule. It would likely have strong support from electronic market makers who bemoan the complexity it adds to their business operations. Many institutional investors would also support getting rid of it or opting out; with sophisticated smart order routers and algos at their fingertips they may feel they do not require the proscriptive government mandated requirements to tell them how they should source liquidity and achieve best execution.
However the full impact of a repeal of this rule cannot be estimated. To ensure that we avoid mistakes of the past and minimize unintended consequences, a review of the Order Protection Rule should be undertaken in conjunction with a holistic review of equity market structure.
1. http://www.capitalthinkingblog.com/2015/10/sec-equity-market-structure-advisory-committee/